Note: Exporter Expectation Index Calculation
- Formula = (((% of firms with positive expectation - % of firms with negative expectation) * 100) + 100) / 2
- 50 is the baseline, indicating a neutral outlook.
A score above 50 means the export industry has a positive outlook on export performance.
A score below 50 indicates a negative outlook.
Statistical Timeframe：
Data ranges from the eve of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election to the Reciprocal Tariffs Announcement in 2025.
The index will be updated regularly afterward or adjusted following significant political and economic events.
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The Exporter Expectation Index briefly rose to 45.1 after last year's U.S. Presidential election, reflecting optimism toward Trump's pro-business policies.
However, following the Reciprocal Tariffs Announcement, the index sharply fell to 27.8.
This decline, exceeding the concurrent drop in the Exporter Confidence Index, indicates businesses have adopted highly cautious market outlooks amid escalating trade uncertainty.