Exporters Expectation Index

Release History

2025

2024

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Note: Exporter Expectation Index Calculation

  • Formula = (((% of firms with positive expectation - % of firms with negative expectation) * 100) + 100) / 2
  • 50 is the baseline, indicating a neutral outlook.
    A score above 50 means the export industry has a positive outlook on export performance.
    A score below 50 indicates a negative outlook.
 
Statistical Timeframe:
Data ranges from the eve of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election to the Reciprocal Tariffs Announcement in 2025.
The index will be updated regularly afterward or adjusted following significant political and economic events.
Exporters Expectation Index image

Survey Date:2025/09/10

Looking ahead, the Exporters Expectation Index shows earlysigns of a modest recovery, though sentiment remains deeply pessimistic.

After plunging to a low point immediately following the tariff announcement, the indexhas now ticked up slightly.

This subtle rebound suggests that while the future outlook is still challenging, the initial shockhas been absorbed, and businesses are beginning to find atentative footing in the new trade environment.

Release History

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